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Median AR 142% #474670
10/28/18 20:46
10/28/18 20:46
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 236
Italy
tradingest Offline OP
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tradingest  Offline OP
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Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 236
Italy
Hi all,

what does means "Median AR 142%"

Thanks

Re: Median AR 142% [Re: tradingest] #474671
10/29/18 06:47
10/29/18 06:47
Joined: Feb 2017
Posts: 369
D
Dalla Offline
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Dalla  Offline
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Joined: Feb 2017
Posts: 369
From the manual:
"Median AR - Annual return by Monte Carlo analysis at 50% confidence level."

Re: Median AR 142% [Re: Dalla] #474676
10/29/18 20:08
10/29/18 20:08
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 236
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tradingest  Offline OP
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Originally Posted By: Dalla
From the manual:
"Median AR - Annual return by Monte Carlo analysis at 50% confidence level."


Thanks for the answer, but what does means the value?
The higher is better or not?

thanks again

Re: Median AR 142% [Re: tradingest] #474677
10/29/18 20:14
10/29/18 20:14
Joined: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,725
Chicago
AndrewAMD Offline
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AndrewAMD  Offline
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Higher is better, you make more money.

Re: Median AR 142% [Re: AndrewAMD] #474678
10/29/18 20:36
10/29/18 20:36
Joined: Feb 2018
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Originally Posted By: AndrewAMD
Higher is better, you make more money.


Hi Andrew,

this is my number, are good?
Can you help me to interpret?

thanks again

Re: Median AR 142% [Re: tradingest] #474679
10/29/18 21:40
10/29/18 21:40
Joined: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,725
Chicago
AndrewAMD Offline
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I'm mostly interested in the 95%-100% confidence levels, as you want to be prepared for the worst case scenario (which, by the way, can be worse than the 100% confidence level).

That's all I have to say in this context. At least make sure you have good risk management.

Re: Median AR 142% [Re: AndrewAMD] #474680
10/29/18 22:15
10/29/18 22:15
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 236
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Originally Posted By: AndrewAMD
I'm mostly interested in the 95%-100% confidence levels, as you want to be prepared for the worst case scenario (which, by the way, can be worse than the 100% confidence level).

That's all I have to say in this context. At least make sure you have good risk management.


thanks so much


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