Test DualMomentumV1.1 Simulated account History\AssetsZ9.csv Bar period 24 hours (avg 2089 min) Test period 2007-12-26..2014-01-03 (1515 bars) Lookback period 240 bars (49 weeks) Montecarlo cycles 200 Simulation mode Realistic (slippage 5.0 sec) Capital invested 5000$ Gross win/loss 6347$ / -1254$ (+25693p) Average profit 846$/year, 70.46$/month, 3.25$/day Max drawdown -766$ 15.0% (MAE -1864$ 36.6%) Total down time 36% (TAE 91%) Max down time 188 weeks from Dec 2007 Max open margin 5384$ Max open risk 142$ Trade volume 63278$ (10506$/year) Transaction costs -177$ spr, 0.20$ slp, 0$ rol, -35.44$ com Capital required 5924$ Number of trades 89 (15/year, 1/week, 1/day) Percent winning 68.5% Max win/loss 391$ / -140$ Avg trade profit 57.22$ 288.7p (+524.9p / -226.0p) Avg trade slippage 0.00$ 0.0p (+0.6p / -1.4p) Avg trade bars 156 (+183 / -99) Max trade bars 543 (112 weeks) Time in market 920% Max open trades 12 Max loss streak 9 (uncorrelated 4) Annual growth rate 12.37% Profit factor 5.06 (PRR 3.71) Sharpe ratio 0.66 Kelly criterion 2.57 R2 coefficient 0.000 Ulcer index 11.6% Confidence level AR DDMax Capital 10% 15% 465 5712$ 20% 15% 530 5758$ 30% 15% 579 5792$ 40% 15% 618 5820$ 50% 14% 657 5848$ 60% 14% 711 5886$ 70% 14% 788 5940$ 80% 14% 838 5975$ 90% 14% 998 6088$ 95% 14% 1224 6247$ 100% 13% 1763 6628$ Portfolio analysis OptF ProF Win/Loss Wgt% CSJ avg .1000 0.50 5/4 -1.2 HYG avg .1000 ++++ 3/0 0.4 ITB avg .1000 4.36 6/3 17.7 SMH avg .1000 3.05 6/3 9.9 SPY avg .1000 10.90 13/4 12.1 TLT avg .1000 0.04 1/6 -2.6 XBI avg .1000 4.39 9/3 19.7 XLI avg .1000 ++++ 12/0 20.1 XLV avg .1000 10.78 6/5 23.9 CSJ:L .1000 0.50 5/4 -1.2 HYG:L .1000 ++++ 3/0 0.4 ITB:L .1000 4.36 6/3 17.7 SMH:L .1000 3.05 6/3 9.9 SPY:L .1000 10.90 13/4 12.1 TLT:L .1000 0.04 1/6 -2.6 XBI:L .1000 4.39 9/3 19.7 XLI:L .1000 ++++ 12/0 20.1 XLV:L .1000 10.78 6/5 23.9