Test Z9 Simulated account AssetsZ9 (NFA) Bar period 24 hours (avg 2088 min) Test period 2012-01-02..2017-12-16 (1500 bars) Lookback period 252 bars (52 weeks) Montecarlo cycles 200 Simulation mode Realistic (slippage 5.0 sec) Gross win/loss 10445$ / -6313$ (+49231p) Average profit 694$/year, 58$/month, 2.67$/day Max drawdown -3269$ 79.1% (MAE -3909$ 94.6%) Total down time 68% (TAE 92%) Max down time 234 weeks from Jun 2012 Max open margin 5333$ Max open risk 138$ Trade volume 162444$ (27279$/year) Transaction costs -509$ spr, -5.75$ slp, 0 rol, -102$ com Capital required 7653$ Number of trades 164 (28/year, 1/week, 1/day) Percent winning 72.6% Max win/loss 727$ / -1333$ Avg trade profit 25$ 300.2p (+1045.7p / -1671.4p) Avg trade slippage -0.03504617b -0.4p (+2.0p / -6.8p) Avg trade bars 112 (+61 / -52) Max trade bars 377 (78 weeks) Time in market 1234% Max open trades 10 Max loss streak 6 (uncorrelated 4) Annual return 9% Profit factor 1.65 (PRR 1.31) Sharpe ratio 0.37 Kelly criterion 1.53 R2 coefficient 0.000 Ulcer index 53.6% Confidence level AR DDMax Capital 10% 10% 2225$ 6912$ 20% 9% 2830$ 7341$ 30% 9% 3270$ 7654$ 40% 9% 3634$ 7913$ 50% 9% 3963$ 8146$ 60% 8% 4694$ 8665$ 70% 8% 5349$ 9129$ 80% 7% 5806$ 9454$ 90% 7% 6945$ 10262$ 95% 6% 7690$ 10791$ 100% 5% 10599$ 12856$ Portfolio analysis OptF ProF Win/Loss Wgt% CSJ avg .999 12.86 9/3 4.0 HYG avg .999 4.75 4/1 6.6 ITB avg .999 1.28 16/4 12.5 SMH avg .000 0.46 11/9 -12.8 SPY avg .999 11.24 7/1 11.1 TLT avg .702 1.18 13/11 4.8 XBI avg .003 1.32 19/13 13.2 XLI avg .999 4.83 22/1 31.9 XLV avg .999 6.10 18/2 28.7 CSJ:L .999 12.86 9/3 4.0 HYG:L .999 4.75 4/1 6.6 ITB:L .999 1.28 16/4 12.5 SMH:L .000 0.46 11/9 -12.8 SPY:L .999 11.24 7/1 11.1 TLT:L .702 1.18 13/11 4.8 XBI:L .003 1.32 19/13 13.2 XLI:L .999 4.83 22/1 31.9 XLV:L .999 6.10 18/2 28.7