I think people are overestimating the speed of development. also i think several of the larger "powers" in all aspects will start to lose there stability, due to an infrastructure built decades previous to the time, with too many things built on top of eachother, take america for instance, it hit its peak in about the early to mid nineties right? and then it all went down hill and you can watch it slowly lose its stability. Take microsoft, we can sit back and observe bill gates driving his own product into the ground because of one thing.... he has power, and power makes you stupid, it makes you think you can make the choice to do things like release an operating system that no ones gonna like, and still be able to sell it, it makes you feel like god until the company fails.